Arkan's profileShade for the wolfBlogListsGuestbook Tools Help

Blog


    September 26

    9/11: Further debunking of Hoffman's concrete theory

    Jerry Russell estimated that the amount of energy required to crush concrete to 60 micron powder is about 1.5 KWH/ton. (See http://www.911-strike.com/powder.htm.)

    1)      Russell’s estimate of 1.5 kWh/t is based off of http://www.b-i-m.de/public/ibac/mueller.htm  This is an erroneous estimate as the 1.5 kWh/t energy cost is of the impact crusher the paper is using for comparative purposes to a different method.  Specifically, “mechanical crushing methods (impact crusher: roughly 1.5 kWh/t concrete)” 

    2)      Russell’s use of 60 microns is in response to Eric Hufschmid’s “concrete physics problem” challenge.  Hufschmid has been contacted and asked to provide a source for his use of 60 microns.  He has opted not to do so.

     

    That paper incorrectly assumes there were 600,000 tons of concrete in each tower, but Russell later provided a more accurate estimate of 90,000 tons of concrete per tower, based on FEMA's description of the towers' construction.

    1)      Neither Russell, nor Hoffman, provide a source for either estimate of the amount of concrete in each tower.

     

    That estimate implies the energy sink of concrete pulverization was on the order of 135,000 KWH per tower, which is already larger than the energy source of gravitational energy.

    1)      Given that the selection of 1.5 kWh/t is based off of the energy cost/efficiency of the impact crusher, and not the amount of energy needed to crush the concrete as calculated from a purely energy/work standpoint the 135,000 kWh estimated energy sink of the towers is wrong and is without doubt higher than the actual value.

     

     

     However, the size of this sink is critically dependent on the fineness of the concrete powder, and on mechanical characteristics of the lightweight concrete thought to have been used in the towers. Available statistics about particle sizes of the dust, such as the study by Paul J. Lioy, et al., characterize particle sizes of aggregate dust samples, not of its constituents, such as concrete, fiberglass, hydrocarbon soot, etc. Based on diverse evidence, 60 microns would appear to be a high estimate for average concrete particle size,

    1)      The Paul J. Lioy, et al abstract (which is the cited source) states, “The largest mass concentrations were > 53 µm in diameter.”

    2)      The full paper, http://www.ehponline.org/members/2002/110p703-714lioy/lioy-full.html , states that the estimated mass of material involved is “> 10 106 tons”

    3)      The sampling done for the Lioy paper dealt directly with the dust component of the debris, “These two samples were collected from 10-15 cm-thick deposits that were on the top of two automobiles about 0.7 km from the WTC site” and therefore their particle size is dealing specifically with the dust particles and is not a representation of the average particle size of all debris.

    4)      Lioy used two methods for separating the particles, “a) a gravimetric sieving analysis that separated the mass of lint and nonfibrous material into fractions > 300 µm, 75-300 µm, and < 75 µm in diameter; and b) an aerodynamic separation for the particle size fractions of < 2.5 µm, 2.5-10 µm, and 10-53 µm in diameter, with a gravimetric sieving that separated the particles > 53 µm in diameter before the aerodynamic sizing of the samples. The separations were based on the design or availability of specific size separation techniques in the laboratories.”

    5)      Lioy’s table here http://www.ehponline.org/members/2002/110p703-714lioy/tab1.jpg shows that the  “> 53 µm in diameter” statement in the abstract dealt specifically with the aerodynamically separated sample and accounted for 61.5%, 52.21% and 63.6% of the mass of the aerodynamically separated sample.  However, when looking at the first step of the separation process (sieved sample) we see that particles < 75 µm in diameter account for 38%, 30%, and 37% of the sample masses.  Particles between 75 µm and 300 µm in diameter account for 46%, 49%, and 42% of the samples and particles > 300 µm in diameter account for 16%, 23%, and 21% of the samples.  The use of 60 µm in diameter for the calculations is erroneous at best, and dishonest at worst.  To highlight what this table implies; in the three samples 62%, 72%, and 63% of the mass of the samples was > 75 µm in diameter.

     

    suggesting 135,000 KWH is a conservative estimate for the magnitude of the sink.

    At this point I am confident in saying that the estimate of 135,000 kWh is just plain wrong and entirely too high.

    Couple the poor choice of particle size with my previous debunk means Hoffman’s entire paper is based upon a faulty premise.

     

    I’m not going to analyze the paper further, because it would be a pointless exercise.  His premise if flawed.  His initial data is wrong.  His paper is crap.

    September 19

    9/11: Concrete pulverization debunk

    A new loon at the JREF forums posted this tidbit to try to support his claim of controlled demolition of the Twin Towers:
    "
    9 - 1 1 R e s e a r c h papers This paper has been updated. Please see Version 4. The version on this page is archived for historical interest. See the Revision History. The North Tower's Dust Cloud

    Analysis of Energy Requirements for the Expansion of the Dust Cloud Following the Collapse of 1 World Trade Center

    by Jim Hoffman
    October 16, 2003
    [Version 3.1]


    On September 11th, Both of the Twin Towers disintegrated into vast clouds of concrete and other materials, which blanketed Lower Manhattan. This paper shows that the energy required to produce the expansion of the dust cloud observed immediately following the collapse of 1 World Trade Center (the North Tower) was much greater than the gravitational energy available from its elevated mass. It uses only basic physics.
    Introduction

    Vast amounts of energy were released during the collapse of each of the Twin Towers in Lower Manhattan on September 11th, 2001. The accepted source of this energy was the gravitational potential energy of the towers, which was far greater than the energy released by the fires that preceded the collapses. The magnitude of that source cannot be determined with much precision thanks to the secrecy surrounding details of the towers' construction. However, FEMA's Building Performance Assessment Report gives an estimate: "Construction of WTC 1 resulted in the storage of more than 4 x 10^11 joules of potential energy over the 1,368-foot height of the structure." That is equal to about 111,000 KWH (kilowatt hours) per tower.
    Of the many identifiable energy sinks in the collapses, one of the only ones that has been subjected to quantitative analysis is the thorough pulverization of the concrete in the towers. It is well documented that nearly all of the non-metallic constituents of the towers were pulverized into fine powder. The largest of these constituents by weight was the concrete that constituted the floor slabs of the towers. Jerry Russell estimated that the amount of energy required to crush concrete to 60 micron powder is about 1.5 KWH/ton. (See
    http://www.911-strike.com/powder.htm.) That paper incorrectly assumes there were 600,000 tons of concrete in each tower, but Russell later provided a more accurate estimate of 90,000 tons of concrete per tower, based on FEMA's description of the towers' construction. That estimate implies the energy sink of concrete pulverization was on the order of 135,000 KWH per tower, which is already larger than the energy source of gravitational energy. However, the size of this sink is critically dependent on the fineness of the concrete powder, and on mechanical characteristics of the lightweight concrete thought to have been used in the towers. Available statistics about particle sizes of the dust, such as the study by Paul J. Lioy, et al., characterize particle sizes of aggregate dust samples, not of its constituents, such as concrete, fiberglass, hydrocarbon soot, etc. Based on diverse evidence, 60 microns would appear to be a high estimate for average concrete particle size, suggesting 135,000 KWH is a conservative estimate for the magnitude of the sink. "
     
    This was not to go unanswered by me:
    [QUOTE=Arkan_Wolfshade;1936951][url]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Trade_Center[/url]
    Height (m) 417
    Height (ft) 1,368
    Stories 110

    http://www.house.gov/science/hot/wtc/wtc-report/WTC_ch2.pdf Section
    2.2.1.1
    American Airlines Flight 11 struck the north face of WTC 1 approximately between the 94th and
    98th floors

    2.2.1.5
    Construction of WTC 1 resulted in the storage of more than 4x10^11 joules of potential energy over the
    1,368-foot height of the structure. Of this, approximately 8x10^9 joules of potential energy were stored in the
    upper part of the structure, above the impact floors, relative to the lowest point of impact.
    2.2.2.1
    United Airlines Flight 175 struck the south face of WTC 2 approximately between the 78th and 84th
    floors.

    For WTC 1, the top 12 floors of the tower translates into 8x10^9 joules of the total 4x10^11 joules.  So, the top ~10.9% of WTC 1 contained ~2% of the entire PE of WTC 1.  Extrapolating this on to WTC 2 (since the above mentioned report does not specify the amount PE contained above the WTC 2 impact point) we get the following:
    WTC 2 => top 26 floors => ~23.6% of WTC 2.
    If ~10.9% of WTC 1 translates into 8x10^9 joules PE
    Then ~23.6% of WTC 2 translates into N joules PE
    Therefore 10.9/8*10^9 = 23.6/N
    => 10.9*N/8*10^9 = 23.6
    => 10.9*N = 23.6*(8*10^9)
    => N = 23.6*(8*10^9)/10.9
    => N = 17321100917.431192660550458715596
    => N = 17.3*10^9 joules PE
    => ~34.7% of the entire PE of WTC 2
    What does this mean?  It means for WTC 1, that ~2% (8x10^9 joules) of PE was converted to KE almost instantaneously upon structural failure at floors 94-98.  It means for WTC 2, that ~34.7% (17.3*10^9 joules) of PE was converted to KE almost instantaneously upon structural failure at floors 78-84.
    Okay, so Hoffman wants to talk kWh.  What do our total, and our partials, convert into? (all per Google calculator)
    4 x (10^11) joules = 111,111.111 kilowatt hours
    8 x (10^9) joules = 2,222.22222 kilowatt hours
    17.3 x (10^9) joules = 4,805.55556 kilowatt hours
    Now, Hoffman cites [url]http://www.911-strike.com/powder.htm[/url] to support his claim that [b]all[/b] of the concrete was pulverized to 60 microns.  On Hoffman's reference Russell states
    The energy required to crush rock is roughly proportional to 1/sqrt(powder diameter), so the exact amount of energy required is critically dependent on the fineness of the powder. The energy required to reduce solid rock to 60 micron powder is about 20 kwh/ton:
    http://www.elorantaassoc.com/eob97.htm

    However, concrete is softer than rock, and a round number for the energy required to crush concrete is around 1.5 kwh/ton:
    http://www.b-i-m.de/public/ibac/mueller.htm
     
    Russell's use of 60 microns appears to come from the nature of his article; that being a response to 
    Eric Hufschmid's "concrete physics problem" challenge
      Russell does not link to Hufscmid's challenge, and, frankly, at this point I'm not going digging for it.  If someone has it, and it is relevant, they can post it.
    Now, before delving too far into our 60 microns, let's look at the makeup of the dust after the collapses:
    http://www.epa.gov/wtc/panel/pdfs/meeker-20041115.pdf#search=%22EPA%20particle%20WTC%20analysis%22
    First, I highly suggest reading the short paper, as it describes the EPA's methodology in a very detailed manner.
    Component analysis for the six WTC bulk samples is summarized in Table 1 and Figures 2 - 7. All of the samples show three primary components – gypsum, phases compatible with concrete, and MMVF. The additional particle types shown in Table 1 were found in most samples. The data demonstrate that the most consistent particle-type abundance ratios occur within the MMVF, i.e., slag wool, rock wool, and soda-lime glass. In all samples, slag wool is the dominant MMVF component while rock wool and soda-lime glass fibers occur in all samples at similar relative abundances below approximately 10 to less than 1 percent total MMVF (Table 1).

    Table 1. Range in area percent of major and minor components for all samples.
    Particle Type Comment                                     Percent Range, Outdoor   Percent Range, Indoor
    Gypsum        Includes all Ca sulfate particles           26.3 – 53.3              63.3 – 63.7
    Concrete      All phases compatible with hydrated cement  19.3 – 30.8              14.0 – 21.0
    MMVF*       Total                                         20.3 – 40.6               9.5 – 19.2
    <snip>
     
    Wait.  You read that too fast.  Let me reiterate
    Particle Type
    Gypsum
    Percent Range, Outdoor
    26.3 – 53.3
    Percent Range, Indoor
    63.3 – 63.7
    Particle Type
    Concrete     
    Percent Range, Outdoor
    19.3 – 30.8
    Percent Range, Indoor
    14.0 – 21.0
    Let me put it another way.  In the EPA's sample, drywall dust accounted for more than ~15% more of the outdoor sample than concrete; and account for more than ~46% more of the indoor sample.
    The bulk of the cloud seen from the collapse of the towers is drywall dust not concrete dust.  Hoffman is starting from a flawed premise.
    QED.
     
    I would also like to point of that the claim of 1.5 kWh/ton concrete is taken out of context
    Quote:
    At the moment digestion rates of around 60 % can be attained with electro-mechanical crushing methods (sonic impulse). This method is nevertheless not competitive compared to common mechanical crushing methods (impact crusher: roughly 1.5 kWh/t concrete) because of its high energy consumption (around 12 kWh/t).

    The 1.5 kWh/t is the energy consumption of the impact crusher, not a calculated value of the amount of energy to pulverize the concrete in an ideal setting.
    September 08

    Prof. Steven "Cold Fusion" Jones placed on leave

    Prof. Steven "Cold Fusion" Jones of "thermite brought the twin towers down!" fame has been placed on leave by BYU; they're getting tired of his shennanigans.  http://www.deseretnews.com/dn/view/0,1249,645199800,00.html
    September 06

    Debunking: Killtown

     
    Over at the JREF forum we've been going around and around with Killtown over his analyis of Val McClatchey's photo, End of Serenity.  Seeing as how he has run away from the debunkings of his drek without responding in a meaningful way, I thought I would address a number of the points here.
     
    Before delving into his pile of factoids and allegations I'd like to present the facts that are verifiable.
     
    Here's Shanksville, PA and its surrounding area; including the crashsite of Flight 93 and Ms. McClatchey's house: 

    Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

    To give you an idea where this is, if you are unfamiliar with Pennsylvania, I've overlaid the NTSB diagram of Flight 93's flightpath over top of a Google Earth map:

     

    Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

    Okay, so now you know where Shanksville, PA is located.  So, let's get down to the nitty-gritty.  Let's start by looking at the camera's location when the picture was taken.  Looking at the picture we see the corner of the gutter on the house, the telephone pole across the street and the peak of the house West-North-West of Ms. McClatchey's.  Here are my estimations of the points in question:

    Camera location: 40 03'00.33" N 78 52'28.37" W
    Corner of fenceline meeting road in front, and south, of camera position: 40 02'59.99" N 78 52'29.65" W
    Peak of house West-North-West of camera location: 40 03'02.30"N 78 52'35.01" W
    Northern peak of red barn in picture: 40 03'01.15" N 78 52'34.43" W
    Southern peak of red barn in picture: 40 03'00.43" N 78 52'34.40" W
    Southern peak of red shed next to red barn in picture: 40 03'00.19" N 78 52'35.16" W
    Northern peak of white barn in picture: 40 02'58.21" N 78 52'41.99" W
    Southern peak of white barn in picture: 40 02'57.44" N 78 52'41.95" W
     
    Let's look at the extended field of view of the camera.  We'll take it out past the longitude of the crashsite.
     

    Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

    Now, let's look at Ms. McClatchey's photo with our reference points in place, and some indicators of where the smoke plume fits into the picture: 

    Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

    So, let's overlay our new reference points in the field of view.  (widest angle is camera field of view, next is plume cap field of view, narrowest is plume stem field of view)
     

    Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

    Stay tuned for further analysis.